Monday, January 04, 2010

MORNING COFFEE


Business Loan Defults Rise. 
Severe delinquencies on business loans rose to 0.91% in November from 0.87% in October, reported PayNet Inc. today, marking the 22nd consecutive monthly increase in loans unlikely to be paid. Moderate delinquencies rose to 4.33% from 4.19%. In a small sign of improvement, the Small Business Lending Index fell just 11% year-over-year, the smallest decline in the index since the recession began.

Kraft Ups Bid For Cadbury. 
Kraft
(KFT) is reportedly planning to improve its hostile £10B offer for Cadbury (CBY) in the next two weeks.  Kraft has a Jan. 19 deadline to lock in its offer.  After the deadline, Kraft will only be allowed to raise its bid if there's a rival offer.

Novartis buys Alcon.
Novartis (NVS) announced it will buy the rest of eye-care giant Alcon (ACL) from Nestle (NSRGY) and minority shareholders for around $39.3B.  Nestle will sell its 52% stake for an average of $180 per share. Novartis is offering 2.8 of its own shares for each Alcon share held by the public (valuing Alcon at approximately $153 per share).

The Mosaic Company (MOS) will report earnings today.  Analyst estimates are $0.35 per share.

Economic data to be reported today are Construction Spending (Nov.) and ISM Index (Dec).

• Futures: Dow +0.5%. S&P +0.7%. Nasdaq +1.1%. Crude +1.8% to $80.82. Gold +2.1% to $1118.50.

• In Asia, Nikkei +1% to 10,655 (a 15-month closing high). Hang Seng -0.2% to 21,823. BSE +0.5% to 17,559. Shanghai closed.

• In Europe at midday, London +0.7%. Paris +1.1%. Frankfurt +0.7%. 

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