Tuesday, February 05, 2013

Investor Insights & Outlook - Nov. 2012


November 2012  | Vol. 1 No. 2  | Sports & Entertainment Wealth Management Division

In This Issue
Hiring the Right Advisors
Monthly Market Commentary
Monthly Market Barometer
Wealth by Numbers
Going Social
Poverty Trends in Retirement
The Best Investments for Your IRA
Why You Need a PFM App on
Your Mobile Devices
Dump Your Banks High Fees
Four Steps to Debt Reduction

Hiring the Right Advisors

With the football season winding down and the USATF Annual Meeting about to begin, athletes are reviewing their options for choosing the advisers that will guide them throughout their career.  But for many athletes, there is confusion about the duties of these advisers.

To help eliminate some of the confusion below are some advisers with their duties.

A sports agent’s primary duty is to market the athlete and negotiate contracts for their clients. Agents are responsible for contacting team owners, managers, and coaches.  They are also responsible for making recommendations with regards to their client’s career.

Next every athlete should have a financial advisor. There are two basic types of financial advisors. A stockbroker or registered representative recommends investments that are deemed “suitable” for the client.  They are compensated typically on a commission basis and the products they sell.

A Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) is used to describe an Investment Adviser who is registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission or a state's securities agency. It is common for an RIA to actively manage portfolios for clients. RIAs generally are paid on a percentage of the value of the assets they manage for clients.  As an RIA they also adhere to higher standard then stockbrokers.  An RIA has a “fiduciary” responsibility to act and serve a client's best interests.

A Certified Public Accountant (CPA) is the highest level of accountant and is someone who has passed the Uniform Certified Public Accountant Examination. These individuals are responsible for filling their client’s taxes and doing accounting and bookkeeping for their clients businesses.

Monthly Market Commentary

Markets in October and early November were mostly distracted from the positive economic news in the U.S. by poor earnings reports, election jitters, and Hurricane Sandy. The earnings reports have not been pretty, with negative news from slowing emerging markets, a weak Europe (and, to a lesser degree, China), and large currency swings. Although the U.S. won’t remain immune to the rest of the world forever, and our fiscal situation remains in disarray, there still are a few factors that will help the domestic economy. These include Boeing’s ongoing ramp-up, a nicely improved and stable auto industry, increased oil production, a relatively stabilized banking industry, and a lumbering housing industry that has finally begun to recover.
GDP: Third-quarter real GDP grew by 2%, ahead of the second quarter’s 1.3% rate. Much of this improvement was due to a very strong consumer, an improved housing market, and strong government spending. Consumption, which represents about 70% of GDP, is always the most important factor, because if consumers continue to spend, businesses will have to invest in plant and equipment, inventory, and most importantly, employees.

Employment: In October, 171,000 jobs were added, sharply exceeding expectations. While this was great news, Morningstar economists believe that at the current pace of job growth, an additional 23 months is still required to recover pre-recession jobs. Employment recovery across sectors has not been consistent. The overall service sector is nearly back to pre-recession levels, while good-producing sectors (mining, manufacturing, and construction) have only recovered 15% of the jobs lost. Furthermore, massive efficiency gains in manufacturing have moved industrial production levels to near pre-recession levels, even as manufacturing has regained a measly 25% or less of the jobs lost. The unemployment rate inched upward to 7.9%.

Housing: Despite the arrival of fall, which typically brings a drop in real estate activities, home prices, new home sales, and pending home sales all showed improvement. On a year-over-year basis, the August Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Home Price Index was up 4.6%, with all nine regions in the U.S. showing positive growth. While almost always moving in the same direction, pending sales (contract executed but not closed) have exceeded closed sales by a large margin for many months, as below-market appraisals and mortgage denials caused many contracts to not close. Recently, the gap between growth in pending and closing sales has narrowed to about 2% from as much as 6%, which Morningstar economists believe points toward an improving housing market.

Manufacturing: October’s manufacturing data showed gains in new orders and an increase in employment, which suggested that the manufacturing sector in the U.S. may have bottomed and is now recovering. Auto sales in October were better than a year ago, but slumped from 14.9 million units in September to 14.2 million units in October. Hurricane Sandy was most likely the cause of this shortfall, as a large portion of auto sales occur on the last few days of the month, and the area hit by the storm accounted for 20%-25% of all auto sales. Outside of the U.S., China showed meaningful improvement between September and October as the Chinese construction market continued to show signs of bottoming. Europe’s manufacturing, on the other hand, continued to contract and is currently at its lowest level in 40 months.

Election results: With President Barack Obama beating out Republican challenger Mitt Romney to win a second term in office, all attention has now turned to global woes and the looming fiscal cliff. If nothing is resolved by the end of 2012, massive spending cuts and across-the-board tax increases may occur. Markets reacted negatively on Wednesday November 7th, falling by as much as 2.73%, with energy and banking sectors among the hardest hit.

Portfolio Notes
The U.S. stock market is now near a three month low falling after President Obama’s election win. Wall Street has concerns about the overall fiscal policy going forward and the impact it will have on the economy. Additionally, investors are worried about the approaching fiscal cliff and the EU debt crisis.

Our approach of focusing on attractively valued companies looks positive over the long haul and has held up comparatively well, thanks to a handful of strong performers.

Even with the current economic concerns we remain positive and believe that the current sell off has left for some possible attractive valuations.

Going forward we believe that a positive but cautious approach is in order as we research possible new additions to our clients investment portfolios.

Monthly Market Barometer

1 Month, ending October 31, 2012. The U.S. Market returned -1.75% (YTD 14.09%).

The Morningstar Market Barometer provides a visualization of the performance of various stock market indexes. The color scale (red for losses and green for gains) allows you to assess which areas of the market performed strongly and which areas showed weakness for the time period analyzed. The nine square grid represents stocks classified by size (vertical axis) and style (horizontal axis). There are three investment styles for each size category: small, mid and large. Two of the three style categories are “value” and “growth” while the central column represents the core style (neither value nor growth characteristics dominate). Large-caps account for the top 70% of the capitalization; mid-caps represent the next 20%; and small-caps represent the balance.

Wealth by Numbers

America has long been known as the land of opportunity and the promise of a better life to people from all over the world. Recently, however, many Americans feel robbed of opportunities and better lives by the top 1% of their own. This growing income inequality has led to problems and civil unrest, as demonstrated by the “Occupy Wall Street” movement.

The table presents household income distribution data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Given that the poverty threshold for a two-member household is around $14,000, it appears that approximately 13.7% of Americans are poor. At the other end of the income spectrum, 3.9% are rich, with household incomes higher than $200,000.

Going Social

We are pleased to announce that we are on several social media sites. So whether you like Facebook, Google+, Twitter, Blogs, Pinterest or LinkedIn we have you covered. “Like” or follow us and each morning you will receive breaking pre-market news, analyst rating changes and earning reports. Additionally, we will post breaking financial news and article that you can’t get anywhere else.

Greater financial knowledge is just a click away.



Retirement Plans for Athletes and Entertainers

Unlike NFL, NBA and the MLB others such as professional track athletes and entertainers are considered self employed.  Because of this, these individuals can establish their own plan to help lower their taxes and fund their retirement. There are many different types of plans available, but time is running out on some of them.  For example an individual 401k plan needs to be established and funded before December 31.Other plans include Sep-IRA’s, SIMPLE IRA’s, SARSEP, Roth IRA, Roth 401k’s, Profit Sharing and Defined Benefit plans.  We can assist you with establishing the retirement plan that right for your unique needs.  Simply contact us at 248-804-0436 or 424-249-9290.

The Best Investments for Your IRA

Stocks or Bonds: Which Are Better? Conventional wisdom holds that investors should hold bonds in tax protected vehicles like IRAs and stocks in their taxable accounts. Intuitively, that makes sense. After all, bonds throw off a lot of taxable income, which is taxed at rates as high as 35%. Meanwhile, stocks typically generate much less income, and that dividend income is taxed at a much lower rate—generally 15%. (Longterm capital gains from stocks enjoy the same rate.)

In this instance, however, the conventional wisdom has limitations. Stocks generally produce higher returns than bonds, and thanks to the magic of compounding, the differences in performance really add up over time. That's why the return from stocks can generate a much higher tax burden than bonds over the long haul. If you're a long way from retirement, it might make more sense to hold stocks in your IRA (and bonds if you are close to retiring).

Not All Investments Are Equal

So you've got a while until you retire, and you've decided that stocks are the right choice for your IRA. That decision only gets you so far. For an IRA, not all stock investments are created equal. For example, index funds' popularity has soared over the past decade. Such funds may also have the benefit of very good tax efficiency, because managers of large-cap index funds tend to buy and sell infrequently. In the same vein, our actively-managed portfolios have very low turnover and often don't generate a lot of taxable gains, either. Either fund type would work well as an IRA holding. However, to the extent that you own funds that do generate a lot of taxable capital gains, it makes sense to hold them in an IRA or other tax sheltered account. In so doing, you take maximum advantage of the IRA's key attribute: tax-deferred (traditional IRA) or tax-free (Roth IRA) compounding.

As for bonds, municipal bonds don't belong in an IRA; such funds generate income that's exempt from federal and in some cases state income tax, and their yields are generally lower than taxable bonds as a result. Meanwhile, high-yield bonds are better contenders—they generate heaps of income, but IRA investors don't have to pay tax on those distributions. Alternative asset classes may also make ideal IRA candidates. REIT funds, for example, pay out heaps of income from their underlying real-estate holdings, and none of it is tax-advantaged; thus, to the extent that you own such an offering, you'll want to be sure to stash it in an IRA or other tax-sheltered vehicle.

Keep the Big Picture in Mind

How you split your portfolio between stocks and bonds should be based on your risk tolerance and time horizon, not what makes sense from a tax perspective. Your goal isn't necessarily to avoid taxes, but to maximize after-tax returns. Be sure to consult with us or a tax professional for the latest rules and regulations.

*Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Stocks and REITs are not guaranteed and have been more volatile than bonds. REITs typically provide high dividends plus the potential for moderate, longterm capital appreciation. A REIT must distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders annually. Real estate investment options are subject to certain risks, such as risks associated with general and local economic conditions, interest rate fluctuation, credit risks, liquidity risks and corporate structure. High-yield corporate bonds exhibit significantly more risk of default than investment grade corporate bonds. Municipal bonds may be subject to the alternative minimum tax (AMT) and state and local taxes, and federal taxes would apply to any capital gains distributions.

Things to Remember:
Not All Investments Are Equal
Keep the Big Picture in Mind
Municipal bonds and Annuities don't belong in an IRA

Why You Need a PFM App on Your Mobile Devices.

As a financial professional, I constantly speak with clients about the importance of saving for retirement, investing regularly and saving. Most clients are open and more than willing to listen to this advice.  But when I advise them to set a budget they typically react like I just asked them to jump off a building.  The excuses start flying – “I’ve done it before and it’s too hard,” “It takes to much time,” I don’t know how to even begin.”  Now with the use of PFM Apps all those excuses are eliminated.

PFM stands for Personal Financial Management. Now with the use of these Apps, many which are free, tracking where your money is going has never been easier.

Here is how they work. Once you have downloaded the App from Google Play or the Apple App Store you link all your financial accounts to it – bank accounts, credit cards, retirement accounts, brokerage accounts, mortgage, auto payments; any financial account can be linked to the site so you have all your information aggregated in one place. Then the App updates the information from all your various financial firms and gives you real time data from your accounts.

Here are a few features and benefits that these Apps have that make them worthwhile.

Track your Spending – These Apps will automatically keep track of all transactions in your accounts as they happen.  Each transaction is then automatically grouped into categories such as dining, utilities, and transportation.

Budgeting – Budgets are automatically created based on your past spending habits.  From there you can customize your budget to meet your needs.  Some programs even allow you to compare your budget against national averages within your demographic.

Financial Picture – Because all your accounts are linked you can at any time see your assets and liabilities along with your net worth.  You can even track these over time to make sure you reach goals you have set.  Want to see how your investment portfolios performed today; it’s just a click away.

Reminders – Have you ever bounced a check, forgotten to pay a bill, or over spent.  These programs will send you email and text alerts notifying you before it happens allowing you to make adjustments and save on banking fees.

Goal Tracking – Are you saving for something? Are you looking to pay off your mortgage? You can use these Apps to track your goals.  By doing this you are much more likely to reach that goal.

There are no more excuses, having an up to date picture of all your finances has never been easier.  The most popular Apps are – Mint.com, PageOnce, Adaptu, HellowWallet and Yodlee and I have recommended these to my clients.

Dump Your Banks High Fees

Manage, move, and use your money easily - and without any extra fees

RL Paler Investment Advisors, LLC clients can now more simply and conveniently manage their cash — without incurring access fees — thanks to TD Ameritrade’s Online Cash Services.

Have the freedom to access, spend, and manage your money the way you want - with a debit card with free ATM withdrawals, free check writing and free online bill pay*. Your cash is more flexible with Online Cash Services from TD Ameritrade.

Avoid Unnecessary Charges and Fees

*No monthly maintenance fees, no minimum balance requirements

*Unlimited check writing and free standard 100 reorders

*Free online bill pay

*Avoid ATM fees—you get reimbursed for any ATM charges nationwide

Get On With Your Day Fast and Free with Online Bill Pay Paying bills and moving funds around is just a part of life. But that doesn't mean it should be hard or take up your whole day. With Online Cash Services, you can quickly and easily:

*Save time and postage costs with free online bill pay

*Set up free recurring bill payments—a real time-saver

*Easily move money between TD Ameritrade accounts 

Nix the Dreaded ATM Fees

Why should you have to pay to use your own money? After you receive your free TD Ameritrade® debit card, you’ll be reimbursed for any ATM fees charged nationwide.

More Cash Features

Additional FDIC ProtectionYou can rest assured that your cash is protected. Money in an Insured Deposit Account (IDA) can be deposited into two banks. Having cash deposited at two banks allows you to obtain up to twice the standard FDIC coverage. 

Earn interestPut your cash to work. Even when your balance isn’t invested in securities, it will still be earning interest.

Personalized HelpYou can speak with us at 888-623- 6270 to set up your account, activate features, or make a transfer.

Four Steps to Debt Reduction

Easy access to credit can contribute to a lifestyle that starts out with debt and gets worse as spending pressures increase. If you’ve accumulated debt, how can you dig yourself out?

Calculate Exactly What You Owe: List your debts and minimum monthly payments, due dates and interest rates. Rank debts from highest rate to lowest. Decide if any debt is worth keeping. Consider mortgages and college loans since interest on most mortgages is tax deductible and many college loan rates are reasonable.
Set Up a Budget and Start Eliminating Your Debt: A budget helps you decide how much extra cash you can devote to paying debt. It also helps you identify expenses that you can cut back on, which leads to more cash to further reduce your debt.

Lower Your Borrowing Costs: Compare what rates credit card firms are offering. Then get your current credit card company to match the attractive rate you discover. Or, transfer your current higher interest-rate balance to a company offering a lower rate. However, make sure you find out how long this lower rate will last and what the regular ongoing rate will be. Also, be on the lookout for balance transfer fees.

Cash Is King: Try to stick to cash and/or use a debit card. Unless you have developed a disciplined approach to pay off the balance, do all you can to avoid using a credit card. Find one card with a low rate for situations that may require one, like Internet purchases, but be sure to pay it off every month.



©2012 Morningstar, Inc.  2012 RL Paler Investment Advisors, LLC All Rights Reserved. The information contained herein (1) is intended solely for informational purposes; (2) is proprietary to Morningstar, RL Paler Investment Advisors, LLC and/or the content providers; (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete, or timely; and (4) does not constitute investment advice of any kind. Neither Morningstar, RL Paler Investment Advisors, LLC nor the content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. "Morningstar" and the Morningstar logo are registered trademarks of Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar Market Commentary originally published by Robert Johnson, CFA, Director of Economic Analysis with Morningstar and has been modified for Morningstar Newsletter Builder.

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